Oscar Predictions 2018


While I haven't seen every movie nominated for an Oscar this year, 2017 was a great year for movies and I'm particularly excited about the famous (infamous?) awards show this year. I'm disappointed that movies like Dunkirk and The Darkest Hour are still getting attention, particularly compared to movies like I, Tonya and The Florida Project which are frankly not getting the recognition they deserve. But whatever, white men clearly still run the world and have a hard-on for watching other powerful men kill each other. It's fine, everything is fine.

With that, I plan to have a few sections to this piece:

  • Nominees you should see
  • Movies not nominated, but worth watching
  • Nominees worth skipping
  • Award predictions

I wanted to include a "What I Hope Wins" section, but honestly the movies I love are not actually the highest quality movies. It's a hard distinction to draw, but while I want 'Call Me By Your Name' to win everything and to have Timothée Chalamet give his acceptance speech in French, it definitely wasn't the best picture released last year.

So, without further ado, here's my movie advice for this weekend:

What You Should See:

  • Call Me By Your Name: Summer romance in Northern Italy, with Armie Hammer? Sign me up.
  • Get Out: The funny horror movie about race in America, this movie squarely hits the mark. Very well written + acted.
  • Lady Bird: While I don't fully appreciate why this movie is so critically acclaimed, it was a very enjoyable coming-of-age movie.
  • The Shape of Water: Incredible acting, and way less weird than I expected.
  • 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: Timely, touching, dramatic, memorable. This was, in every sense of the word, a great movie.
  • I, Tonya: Not only does it tell a well-remembered American story, but way this movie tells the story is sublime. The interviews, the cinematography, the absurd characters. And that scene where Margot Robbie cries in the mirror? Amazing.

Not nominated, but still great:

  • Baby Driver: While I wouldn't consider this a "great" movie, it was so entertaining! I wish it had been nominated for more awards.
  • Logan Lucky: Same as above: this movie isn't the masterpiece that some of the movies above are, but was still very well done.
  • Wonder Woman: Hopefully everyone has already seen this, but if not what are you doing I'm worried about you.

Don't Bother Seeing:

  • All the Money in the World: I appreciate Michelle Williams off-screen, but literally the chair I sat in was a better actress than she was in this film.
  • The Darkest Hour: Do yourself a favor and don't pay $10 to take a nap, and watch yet another WWII movie.
  • Dunkirk: Literally could be the same movie as The Darkest Hour.
  • Molly's Game: While this wasn't a bad movie, I didn't love it and wouldn't recommend it. It was just kind of boring.

I Haven't Seen


Best Picture

What Will Win: 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri What Should Win: 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri But I would also be fine with: Get Out, Call Me By Your Name (certainly my favorite of the 9), Shape of Water

Best Director

Who Will Win: Guillermo del Toro Who Should Win: Greta Gerwig, obviously But I would also be fine with: Literally anyone besides Christopher Nolan, though I would admittedly be pretty disappointed if PTA won as well (he won't, but just saying).

Best Actor

Who Will Win: Gary Oldman, "The Darkest Hour" Who Should Win: Michael Shannon, "The Shape of Water" (not even nominated) But I would also be fine with: Daniel Kaluuya, "Get Out" or Timothée Chalamet, "Call Me By Your Name"

Best Actress

Who Will Win: Frances McDormand, "3 Billboards" Who Should Win: Frances McDormand, "3 Billboards" But I would also be fine with: Really anyone. Many great leading ladies this year!

Supporting Actor

Who Will Win: Sam Rockwell, "3 Billboards" Who Should Win: Sam Rockwell, "3 Billboards" But I would also be fine with: Again, really anyone.

Supporting Actress

Who Will Win: Allison Janey, "I, Tonya" Who Should Win: Allison Janey, "I, Tonya" But I would also be fine with: Laurie Metcalf, "Lady Bird" or Octavia Spencer, "Shape of Water"

Ok, that about sums it up! We saw a lot of incredible movies in 2017, and with Black Panther 2018 is already off to a good start.